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Review of International Economics 21(4)
Democracy and Economic Growth in an Interdependent World

We model dynamic interdependence in cross-country economic growth processes by allowing it to vary according to democratic distance among economies. Stochastic distributional dynamics and temporal effects of democracy on economic growth are studied, and spatial variation in economic growth is explored. Among important results, democratic poverty trap is found to exist indicating the possibility of…

Historical Social Research 35(1)
A Bayesian Analysis of Total Factor Productivity Persistence

Historical Social Research: An International Journal for the Application of Formal Methods to History 35(1) pp 363-372 This paper studies persistence properties of total factor productivity (TFP) from Bayesian perspective. Emphasizing that classical unit root test for TFP cannot determine the probability whether a stochastic shock to the series is permanent, we design a Bayesian…